Chicago – September 07, 2024
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said that the presidential race between former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is so close that if Trump outperforms current polling by one point, he will win the White House.
“We‘re talking about the closest campaign in a generation where a single point could make all the difference in the world,” Enten told CNN anchor John Berman on Friday.
The reporter began by stating that no presidential race has been this close in 60 years. According to national polling averages taken from 1964 to 2020, each election featured at least a three-week period where one candidate was polling five points better than the other.
The reporter delved into how close the race is in the battleground states. According to the network’s aggregate polling, Harris is currently ahead of Trump by only an average of six-tenths of a point, which is closer than the final nine-tenths of a point lead President Biden had over Trump among those states in the last election.
“My goodness gracious, that is how tight we are talking right now across these seven battleground states. It is a race, Mr. Berman, that is well within the margin of error when you look across these seven key battleground states that will determine this election,” he said.
Enten continued, detailing how if the November election results perfectly matched today’s polling, “Kamala Harris would win this election with 292 electoral votes to Donald Trump‘s 246.”
