Chicago – November 05, 2024
As the 2024 US Presidential election draws to a close, Americans are showing up in large numbers to vote, making this one of the most competitive elections in recent times.
Already, more than 8 million people in Florida have voted early or by mail, demonstrating the importance of this election. Polls show Donald Trump slightly ahead in Florida, which could help him win 30 electoral votes.
Polling data indicates a very close race, with many results so close they are considered a “statistical tie.” This means the race is so tight that it’s too close to call. According to a report by USA Today, experts say this shows how uncertain the polls can be.
Since the last two elections, where polls underestimated Trump, polling methods have been improved to better reflect people’s thinking, especially in key states like Florida. Right now, Trump leads there by 6.2%.
Looking at national data, the race is also very close. FiveThirtyEight shows the candidates nearly tied, while The Economist suggests a narrow path to victory for Harris. Betting sites like Polymarket and RealClearPolling also show a divided opinion, with slight edges moving between the candidates.
With all this varied data, the outcome of the election is still up in the air, highlighting a nation divided on its choice for president.
